Having been well beaten by Appleby in the last round I'd want to agree with you.
But, in all honesty, I think you've got a good chance. We played them with a weakened side, missing our goalkeeper, meaning our centre back had to go in goal and our regular left back play in the middle. Not making excuses, as I don't think we'd have beaten them, but we'd of put up a much better fight.
Appleby are extremely good going forward. Two very classy strikers and a couple of midfielders who are excellent. However, their weakness is their defence. We had a few chances at 0-0 and 0-1 in the first half and if we'd have taken them it might have been different. If you get at them from the off, you may stand a chance.